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Chelsea vs Liverpool: Who Will Qualify for the Champions League? EPL Top 4 Race Analysis

Chelsea and Liverpool battle for a Champions League spot. Analysis of fixtures, form, and who is more likely to finish in the Premier League top 4.

09.04.2026
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Chelsea or Liverpool - Who Will Qualify for the Champions League

Chelsea and Liverpool are two clubs in crisis right now, and it looks unlikely that both of them together will qualify for the Champions League based on the current Premier League table. Arsenal and Manchester City are guaranteed to end the EPL season in UCL spots, while Man Utd and Aston Villa look likely to earn third and fourth places as it stands. This leaves only a spot remaining for the Champions League, which means one of Liverpool or Chelsea could end up missing out on Europe's biggest club competition.


Lack of Champions League football could ultimately lead to Arne Slot or Liam Rosenior getting the sack

Despite both Chelsea and Liverpool suffering shock results in the past few months, reports are that the board of both clubs still retain faith in their respective managers and are likely to have them continue in their post for the upcoming season. However, Champions League football is the biggest revenue generator for clubs, and missing out on them isn't the kind of thing that a football board of a top club would find forgivable. Thus, both Arne Slot and Liam Rosenior will not just be fighting for Champions League qualification, but also their jobs at Liverpool and Chelsea respectively for the remainder of the season.


Comparing Premier League remaining fixtures for Chelsea and Liverpool

The following are Chelsea's remaining games in the Premier League 


Manchester City (Home)


Manchester United (Home)


Brighton (Away)


Nottingham Forest (Home)


Liverpool (Away)


Tottenham (Home)


Sunderland (Away)



The following are Liverpool's remaining games in the Premier League 


Fulham (Home)


Everton (Away)


Crystal Palace (Home)


Manchester United (Away)


Chelsea (Home)


Aston Villa (Away)


Brentford (Home)


A look at the remaining Premier League fixtures for both clubs shows us that both clubs have an incredibly tough run of games for the remainder of the season, and they'll even face each other as well in what will be a season-defining game. The worrying thing for fans of both clubs should be that based on current form, neither of these clubs are expected to win the majority of these remaining games.


Another thing to worry for both sets of fans, is that Everton and Brentford are not much behind both the clubs in terms of points. In fact, although unlikely, it is impossible that one of these clubs could shock the world and the season in a Champions League spot. At least from a form perspective, both Brentford and Everton are in a much better place than Liverpool and Chelsea.


Why Liverpool and Chelsea are in their current position

In the case of Liverpool, Arne Slot should've been sacked months ago considering how poor they have been this entire season. The decision to keep him even now could backfire like anything for the Liverpool board after the season ends.


For Chelsea, the reason is crystal clear, a lack of leadership and experience in a squad that only has youngsters with high potential and no top-level experience. The blame is on the board here for their strict transfer policy emphasizing youngsters.


Liverpool or Chelsea, who will qualify for the Champions League?

If we are to choose one of the clubs, we think Chelsea will end up with Champions League qualification. The fact Liverpool also have 2  crucial Champions League knockout fixtures against PSG might lead them to drop points in the league according to us. Let us wait and see which of these teams end up with Champions League football, or if neither don't as well.